Publication [J.17]
Gaeta, M.G., Bonaldo, D., Samaras, A.G., Carniel, S. and Archetti, R. (2018). Coupled wave - 2D hydrodynamics modeling at the Reno river mouth (Italy) under climate change scenarios. Water, 10 (10), 1380, DOI.
wave dynamics •• hydrodynamics •• multiscale modelling •• ocean & coastal scale •• climate change
Abstract
This work presents the results of the numerical study implemented for the natural area of Lido di Spina, a touristic site along the Italian coast of the North Adriatic Sea, close to the mouth of River Reno. High-resolution simulations of nearshore dynamics are carried out under climate change conditions estimated for the site. The adopted modeling chain is based on the implementation of multiple-nested, open-source numerical models. More specifically, the coupled wave-2D hydrodynamics runs, using the open-source TELEMAC suite, are forced at the offshore boundary by waves resulting from the wave model (SWAN) simulations for the Adriatic Sea, and sea levels computed following a joint probability analysis approach. The system simulates present-day scenarios, as well as conditions reflecting the high IPCC greenhouse concentration trajectory named RCP8.5 under predicted climate changes. Selection of sea storms directed from SE (Sirocco events) and E–NE (Bora events) is performed together with Gumbel analysis, in order to define ordinary and extreme sea conditions. The numerical results are here presented in terms of local parameters such as wave breaking position, alongshore currents intensity and direction and flooded area, aiming to provide insights on how climate changes may impact hydrodynamics at a site scale. Although the wave energy intensity predicted for Sirocco events is expected to increase only slightly, modifications of the wave dynamics, current patterns, and inland flooding induced by climate changes are expected to be significant for extreme conditions, especially during Sirocco winds, with an increase in the maximum alongshore currents and in the inundated area compared to past conditions.
This work presents the results of the numerical study implemented for the natural area of Lido di Spina, a touristic site along the Italian coast of the North Adriatic Sea, close to the mouth of River Reno. High-resolution simulations of nearshore dynamics are carried out under climate change conditions estimated for the site. The adopted modeling chain is based on the implementation of multiple-nested, open-source numerical models. More specifically, the coupled wave-2D hydrodynamics runs, using the open-source TELEMAC suite, are forced at the offshore boundary by waves resulting from the wave model (SWAN) simulations for the Adriatic Sea, and sea levels computed following a joint probability analysis approach. The system simulates present-day scenarios, as well as conditions reflecting the high IPCC greenhouse concentration trajectory named RCP8.5 under predicted climate changes. Selection of sea storms directed from SE (Sirocco events) and E–NE (Bora events) is performed together with Gumbel analysis, in order to define ordinary and extreme sea conditions. The numerical results are here presented in terms of local parameters such as wave breaking position, alongshore currents intensity and direction and flooded area, aiming to provide insights on how climate changes may impact hydrodynamics at a site scale. Although the wave energy intensity predicted for Sirocco events is expected to increase only slightly, modifications of the wave dynamics, current patterns, and inland flooding induced by climate changes are expected to be significant for extreme conditions, especially during Sirocco winds, with an increase in the maximum alongshore currents and in the inundated area compared to past conditions.
Works that reference this work
[07] Bonaldo, D., Bucchignani, E., Pomaro, A., Ricchi, A., Sclavo, M. and Carniel, S. (2020). Wind waves in the Adriatic Sea under a severe climate change scenario and implications for the coasts. International Journal of Climatology, in press, DOI.
[06] Zhang, D.-L., Bi, C.-W., Wu, G.-Y., Zhao, S.-X. and Dong, G.-H. (2019). Laboratory Experimental Investigation on the Hydrodynamic Responses of an Extra-Large Electrical Platform in Wave and Storm Conditions. Water, 11 (10), 2042, DOI.
[05] Postacchini, M. and Ludeno, G. (2019). Combining Numerical Simulations and Normalized Scalar Product Strategy: A New Tool for Predicting Beach Inundation. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 7 (9), 325, DOI.
[04] Saponieri, A., Besio, G., Simonetti, F., Radulescu, V., Valentini, N., Damiani, L. and Veltri, P. (2019). Evaluation of wave hindcast models skill in the Black Sea. Proc. of the 29th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, Honolulu, Hawaii, June 16-21, 2019. (Link)
[03] Archetti, R., Damiani, L., Bianchini, A., Romagnoli, C., Abbiati, M., Addona, F., Airoldi, L., Cantelli, L., Gaeta, M.G., Guerrero, M., Pellegrini, M., Saccani, C., Barbanente, A., Saponieri, A., Simeone, V., Tarantino, E., Bruno, M.F., Doglioni, A., Motta Zanin, G., Pratola, L. and Molfetta, M.G. (2019). Innovative strategies, monitoring and analysis of the coastal erosion risk: The STIMARE Project. Proc. of the 29th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, Honolulu, Hawaii, June 16-21, 2019. (Link)
[02] Pan, J. and Shen, H.T. (2019). Tsunami intrusion and river ice movement. Water, 11 (6), 1290, DOI.
[01] Quang Tri, D., Kandasamy, J. and Cao Don, N. (2019). Quantitative assessment of the environmental impacts of dredging and dumping activities at sea. Applied Sciences, 9 (8), 1703, DOI.
[07] Bonaldo, D., Bucchignani, E., Pomaro, A., Ricchi, A., Sclavo, M. and Carniel, S. (2020). Wind waves in the Adriatic Sea under a severe climate change scenario and implications for the coasts. International Journal of Climatology, in press, DOI.
[06] Zhang, D.-L., Bi, C.-W., Wu, G.-Y., Zhao, S.-X. and Dong, G.-H. (2019). Laboratory Experimental Investigation on the Hydrodynamic Responses of an Extra-Large Electrical Platform in Wave and Storm Conditions. Water, 11 (10), 2042, DOI.
[05] Postacchini, M. and Ludeno, G. (2019). Combining Numerical Simulations and Normalized Scalar Product Strategy: A New Tool for Predicting Beach Inundation. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 7 (9), 325, DOI.
[04] Saponieri, A., Besio, G., Simonetti, F., Radulescu, V., Valentini, N., Damiani, L. and Veltri, P. (2019). Evaluation of wave hindcast models skill in the Black Sea. Proc. of the 29th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, Honolulu, Hawaii, June 16-21, 2019. (Link)
[03] Archetti, R., Damiani, L., Bianchini, A., Romagnoli, C., Abbiati, M., Addona, F., Airoldi, L., Cantelli, L., Gaeta, M.G., Guerrero, M., Pellegrini, M., Saccani, C., Barbanente, A., Saponieri, A., Simeone, V., Tarantino, E., Bruno, M.F., Doglioni, A., Motta Zanin, G., Pratola, L. and Molfetta, M.G. (2019). Innovative strategies, monitoring and analysis of the coastal erosion risk: The STIMARE Project. Proc. of the 29th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, Honolulu, Hawaii, June 16-21, 2019. (Link)
[02] Pan, J. and Shen, H.T. (2019). Tsunami intrusion and river ice movement. Water, 11 (6), 1290, DOI.
[01] Quang Tri, D., Kandasamy, J. and Cao Don, N. (2019). Quantitative assessment of the environmental impacts of dredging and dumping activities at sea. Applied Sciences, 9 (8), 1703, DOI.
