Publication [J.05]
Samaras, A.G. and Koutitas, C.G. (2014). Modeling the impact of climate change on sediment transport and morphology in coupled watershed-coast systems: A case study using an integrated approach. International Journal of Sediment Research, 29 (3), pp.304-315, DOI. (PDF*)
Watershed-Coast Systems •• climate change •• sediment transport •• geomorphology
Abstract
Climate change is an issue of major concern nowadays. Its impact on the natural and human environment is studied intensively, as the expected shift in climate will be significant in the next few decades. Recent experience shows that the effects will be critical in coastal areas, resulting in erosion and inundation phenomena worldwide. In addition to that, coastal areas are subject to "pressures" from upstream watersheds in terms of water quality and sediment transport. The present paper studies the impact of climate change on sediment transport and morphology in the aforementioned coupled system. The study regards a sandy coast and its upstream watershed in Chalkidiki, North Greece; it is based on: (a) an integrated approach for the quantitative correlation of the two through numerical modeling, developed by the authors, and (b) a calibrated application of the relevant models SWAT and PELNCON-M, applied to the watershed and the coastal zone, respectively. The examined climate change scenarios focus on a shift of the rainfall distribution towards fewer and more extreme rainfall events, and an increased frequency of occurrence of extreme wave events. Results indicate the significance of climatic pressures in wide-scale sediment dynamics, and are deemed to provide a useful perspective for researchers and policy planners involved in the study of coastal morphology evolution in a changing climate.
Climate change is an issue of major concern nowadays. Its impact on the natural and human environment is studied intensively, as the expected shift in climate will be significant in the next few decades. Recent experience shows that the effects will be critical in coastal areas, resulting in erosion and inundation phenomena worldwide. In addition to that, coastal areas are subject to "pressures" from upstream watersheds in terms of water quality and sediment transport. The present paper studies the impact of climate change on sediment transport and morphology in the aforementioned coupled system. The study regards a sandy coast and its upstream watershed in Chalkidiki, North Greece; it is based on: (a) an integrated approach for the quantitative correlation of the two through numerical modeling, developed by the authors, and (b) a calibrated application of the relevant models SWAT and PELNCON-M, applied to the watershed and the coastal zone, respectively. The examined climate change scenarios focus on a shift of the rainfall distribution towards fewer and more extreme rainfall events, and an increased frequency of occurrence of extreme wave events. Results indicate the significance of climatic pressures in wide-scale sediment dynamics, and are deemed to provide a useful perspective for researchers and policy planners involved in the study of coastal morphology evolution in a changing climate.
Works that reference this work
[40] Nucera, A. (2022). An integrated model to predict torrents mouth evolution im mediterranean climate conditions. PhD Thesis, Department of Agriculture, Mediterranea University of Reggio Calabria, Reggio Calabria. Italy, p.52, Link.
[39] Başaran, B. and Arı Güner, H.A. (2024). Future Wave Climate-Driven Longshore Sediment Transport and Shoreline Evolution along the Southwestern Black Sea. Water, 16 (13), 1787, DOI.
[38] Lim, C. and Lee, J.-L. (2023). Derivation of governing equation for short-term shoreline response due to episodic storm wave incidence: comparative verification in terms of longshore sediment transport. Frontiers in Marine Science, 10, DOI.
[37] Rizinjirabake, F., Nyiramana, A., Kamizikunze, T. and Mukamugema, J. (2023). Estimating Soil Erosion to Highlight Potential Areas for Conservation Priority in Rukarara Catchment, South-western Rwanda. Rwanda Journal of Engineering, Science, Technology and Environment, 5 (1), DOI.
[36] Wang, H., Ma, Y., Hong, F., Yang, H., Huang, L., Jiao, X. and Guo, W. (2023). Evolution of Water-Sediment Situation and Attribution Analysis in the Upper Yangtze River, China. Water, 15(3), DOI.
[35] Al-Ali, I. A. and Al- Dabbas, M. A. (2022). The Effect of Variance Discharge on the Dissolved Salts Concentration in the Euphrates River upper reach, Iraq. Iraqi Journal of Science, 63 (9), pp.3842-3853, DOI.
[34] Morales, J.A. (2022). Climate: Climate Variability and Climate Change. In: Morales, J. A. (Ed.), Coastal Geology (pp.375-388). Springer International Publishing: Cham, DOI.
[33] Sooryamol, K.R., Kumar, S., Regina, M. and David Raj, A. (2022). Modelling climate change impact on soil erosion in a watershed of north-western Lesser Himalayan region. Journal of Sedimentary Environments, 7, pp.125-146, DOI.
[32] Das, S.K., Ahsan, A., Khan, M.H.R.B., Tariq, M.A.U.R., Muttil, N. and Ng, A.W.M. (2022). Impacts of Climate Alteration on the Hydrology of the Yarra River Catchment, Australia Using GCMs and SWAT Model. Water, 14 (3), 445, DOI.
[31] Aoula, R.E.L., Mhammdi, N., Dezileau, L., Mahe, G. and Kolker, A.S. (2021). Fluvial sediment transport degradation after dam construction in North Africa. Journal of African Earth Sciences, 104255, DOI.
[30] Zango, B.-S. (2021). Assessment of impacts of upstream developments and climate change on Carp River watershed. MSc Thesis, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada, p.156, DOI.
[29] Lee, J.M., Ahn, J., Kim, Y.D. and Kang, B. (2021). Effect of climate change on long-term river geometric variation in Andong Dam watershed, Korea. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12 (3), pp.741-758, DOI.
[28] Ezzaouini, M.A., Mahé, G., Kacimi, I. and Zerouali, A. (2020). Comparison of the MUSLE Model and Two Years of Solid Transport Measurement, in the Bouregreg Basin, and Impact on the Sedimentation in the Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah Reservoir, Morocco. Water, 12 (7), 1882, DOI.
[27] Kaffas, K., Saridakis, M., Spiliotis, M., Hrissanthou, V. and Righetti, M. (2020). A fuzzy transformation of the classic stream sediment transport formula of Yang. Water, 12 (1), 257, DOI .
[26] Malara, G., Zema, D.A., Arena, F., Bombino, G. and Zimbone, S.M. (2020). Coupling watershed - coast systems to study evolutionary trends: A review. Earth-Science Reviews, 201, 103040, DOI.
[25] Chanapathi, T., Thatikonda, S., Keesara, V.R. and Ponguru, N.S. (2020). Assessment of water resources and crop yield under future climate scenarios: A case study in a Warangal district of Telangana, India. Journal of Earth System Science, 129, 20, DOI.
[24] Kaffas, K. and Hrissanthou, V. (2019). Introductory Chapter: Soil Erosion at a Glance. In: V. Hrissanthou & K. Kaffas (Eds.), Soil Erosion - Rainfall Erosivity and Risk Assessment (pp.1-10). IntechOpen, DOI.
[23] Al Sayah, M.J., Nedjai, R., Kaffas, K., Abdallah, C. and Khouri, M. (2019). Assessing the impact of man–made ponds on soil erosion and sediment transport in limnological basins. Water, 11 (12), pp.2526, DOI.
[22] Stefanidis, K., Papaioannou, G., Markogianni, V. and Dimitriou, E. (2019). Water Quality and Hydromorphological Variability in Greek Rivers: A Nationwide Assessment with Implications for Management. Water, 11 (8), 1680, DOI.
[21] Ahn, J., Lee, J.M., Kim, Y.D. and Kang, B. (2019). Effect of Climate Change on Long-term Riverbed Change using GSTARS Model in Nakdong River, Korea. KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, 23 (4), pp.1849-1859, DOI.
[20] Duc, D.M., Tung, T.T., McLaren, P., Anh, T.N. and Thi Quynh, D. (2019). Sediment transport trends and cross-sectional stability of a lagoonal tidal inlet on the Central coast of Vietnam. International Journal of Sediment Research, DOI.
[19] Kaffas, K. and Hrissanthou, V. (2019). Computation of hourly sediment discharges and annual sediment yields by means of two soil erosion models in a mountainous basin. International Journal of River Basin Management, 17 (1), pp.63-77, DOI.
[18] Ezz-Aldeen, M., Rebwar, H., Ali, A. Al-Ansari, N. and Knutsson, S. (2018). Watershed sediment and its effect on storage capacity: case study of Dokan Dam reservoir. Water, 10 (7), 858, DOI.
[17] Pérez-Maqueo, O., Martínez, M., Sánchez-Barradas, F. and Kolb, M. (2018). Assessing Nature-Based Coastal Protection against Disasters Derived from Extreme Hydrometeorological Events in Mexico. Sustainability, 10 (5), 1317, DOI.
[16] Pesce, M., Critto, A., Torresan, S., Giubilato, E., Santini, M., Zirino, A., Ouyang, W. and Marcomini, A. (2018). Modelling climate change impacts on nutrients and primary production in coastal waters. Science of The Total Environment, 628-629, pp.919-937, DOI.
[15] Li, C., Ma, M., Lv, C., Zhang, G., Chen, G., Yan, Y. and Bi, G. (2017). Sedimentary differences between different segments of the continental slope-parallel Central Canyon in the Qiongdongnan Basin on the northern margin of the South China Sea. Marine and Petroleum Geology, 88, pp.127-140, DOI.
[14] Kim, J., Choi, J., Choi, C. and Hwang, C. (2017). Forecasting the Potential Effects of Climatic and Land-Use Changes on Shoreline Variation in Relation to Watershed Sediment Supply and Transport. Journal of Coastal Research, 33 (4), pp.874-888, DOI.
[13] Jiang, Y., Wang, L., Wei, X. and Ding, X. (2017). Impacts of Climate Change on Runoff of Jinghe River Based on SWAT Model. Nongye Jixie Xuebao/Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery, 48 (2), pp.262-270, DOI.
[12] Pesce, M. (2017). Modelling of climate change effects on nutrients. PhD Thesis, Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice, Italy, p.218. (Link)
[11] Yu, J.J., Kim, J.-s. and Jang, D.-H. (2016). A Time-Series Analysis of the Erosion and Deposition around Halmi-island, Baramarae. Journal of The Korean Geomorphological Association, 23 (1), pp.47-60, DOI.
[10] Oyedotun, T.D.T. (2016). Understanding Ebb Channel Dynamics through Locational Probability Analysis of Historical Maps: A Comparable Study. Environmental Processes, 3 (4), pp.961-980, DOI.
[09] André, C., Boulet, D., Rey-Valette, H. and Rulleau, B. (2016). Protection by hard defence structures or relocation of assets exposed to coastal risks: Contributions and drawbacks of cost-benefit analysis for long-term adaptation choices to climate change. Ocean & Coastal Management, 134, pp.173-182, DOI.
[08] Li, Z. and Fang, H. (2016). Impacts of climate change on water erosion: A review. Earth-Science Reviews, 163, pp.94-117, DOI.
[07] Lou, S., Huang, W., Liu, S., Zhong, G. and Johnson, E. (2016). Hurricane impacts on turbidity and sediment in the Rookery Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve, Florida, USA. International Journal of Sediment Research, 31 (4), pp.330-340, DOI.
[06] Ahn, J., Lee, J.M., Kim, Y.D. and Kang, B. (2016). Sensitive analysis of river geometry under various flow conditions in South Han River using GSTARS model. Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, 49 (4), pp.347-359, DOI.
[05] Liu, Y. (2016). Provenance tracking of macroelements in surface sediments from the Yalu River estuary, China. Toxicological & Environmental Chemistry, 98 (3-4), pp.313-326, DOI.
[04] Fang, H., Lai, R., Lin, B., Xu, X., Zhang, F. and Zhang, Y. (2016). Variational-Based Data Assimilation to Simulate Sediment Concentration in the Lower Yellow River, China. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 21 (5), pp.04016010, DOI.
[03] Zhang, W., Xu, Y., Hoitink, A.J.F., Sassi, M.G., Zheng, J., Chen, X. and Zhang, C. (2015). Morphological change in the Pearl River Delta, China. Marine Geology, 363, pp.202-219, DOI.
[02] Koutalakis, P., Zaimes, G.N., Iakovoglou, V. and Ioannou, K. (2015). Reviewing soil erosion in Greece. International Journal of Environmental, Chemical, Ecological, Geological and Geophysical Engineering, 9 (8), pp.898-903. (Link)
[01] Fang, H., Fazeli, M., Cheng, W., Huang, L. and Hu, H. (2015). Biostabilization and Transport of Cohesive Sediment Deposits in the Three Gorges Reservoir. PLoS ONE, 10 (11), e0142673, DOI.
[40] Nucera, A. (2022). An integrated model to predict torrents mouth evolution im mediterranean climate conditions. PhD Thesis, Department of Agriculture, Mediterranea University of Reggio Calabria, Reggio Calabria. Italy, p.52, Link.
[39] Başaran, B. and Arı Güner, H.A. (2024). Future Wave Climate-Driven Longshore Sediment Transport and Shoreline Evolution along the Southwestern Black Sea. Water, 16 (13), 1787, DOI.
[38] Lim, C. and Lee, J.-L. (2023). Derivation of governing equation for short-term shoreline response due to episodic storm wave incidence: comparative verification in terms of longshore sediment transport. Frontiers in Marine Science, 10, DOI.
[37] Rizinjirabake, F., Nyiramana, A., Kamizikunze, T. and Mukamugema, J. (2023). Estimating Soil Erosion to Highlight Potential Areas for Conservation Priority in Rukarara Catchment, South-western Rwanda. Rwanda Journal of Engineering, Science, Technology and Environment, 5 (1), DOI.
[36] Wang, H., Ma, Y., Hong, F., Yang, H., Huang, L., Jiao, X. and Guo, W. (2023). Evolution of Water-Sediment Situation and Attribution Analysis in the Upper Yangtze River, China. Water, 15(3), DOI.
[35] Al-Ali, I. A. and Al- Dabbas, M. A. (2022). The Effect of Variance Discharge on the Dissolved Salts Concentration in the Euphrates River upper reach, Iraq. Iraqi Journal of Science, 63 (9), pp.3842-3853, DOI.
[34] Morales, J.A. (2022). Climate: Climate Variability and Climate Change. In: Morales, J. A. (Ed.), Coastal Geology (pp.375-388). Springer International Publishing: Cham, DOI.
[33] Sooryamol, K.R., Kumar, S., Regina, M. and David Raj, A. (2022). Modelling climate change impact on soil erosion in a watershed of north-western Lesser Himalayan region. Journal of Sedimentary Environments, 7, pp.125-146, DOI.
[32] Das, S.K., Ahsan, A., Khan, M.H.R.B., Tariq, M.A.U.R., Muttil, N. and Ng, A.W.M. (2022). Impacts of Climate Alteration on the Hydrology of the Yarra River Catchment, Australia Using GCMs and SWAT Model. Water, 14 (3), 445, DOI.
[31] Aoula, R.E.L., Mhammdi, N., Dezileau, L., Mahe, G. and Kolker, A.S. (2021). Fluvial sediment transport degradation after dam construction in North Africa. Journal of African Earth Sciences, 104255, DOI.
[30] Zango, B.-S. (2021). Assessment of impacts of upstream developments and climate change on Carp River watershed. MSc Thesis, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada, p.156, DOI.
[29] Lee, J.M., Ahn, J., Kim, Y.D. and Kang, B. (2021). Effect of climate change on long-term river geometric variation in Andong Dam watershed, Korea. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12 (3), pp.741-758, DOI.
[28] Ezzaouini, M.A., Mahé, G., Kacimi, I. and Zerouali, A. (2020). Comparison of the MUSLE Model and Two Years of Solid Transport Measurement, in the Bouregreg Basin, and Impact on the Sedimentation in the Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah Reservoir, Morocco. Water, 12 (7), 1882, DOI.
[27] Kaffas, K., Saridakis, M., Spiliotis, M., Hrissanthou, V. and Righetti, M. (2020). A fuzzy transformation of the classic stream sediment transport formula of Yang. Water, 12 (1), 257, DOI .
[26] Malara, G., Zema, D.A., Arena, F., Bombino, G. and Zimbone, S.M. (2020). Coupling watershed - coast systems to study evolutionary trends: A review. Earth-Science Reviews, 201, 103040, DOI.
[25] Chanapathi, T., Thatikonda, S., Keesara, V.R. and Ponguru, N.S. (2020). Assessment of water resources and crop yield under future climate scenarios: A case study in a Warangal district of Telangana, India. Journal of Earth System Science, 129, 20, DOI.
[24] Kaffas, K. and Hrissanthou, V. (2019). Introductory Chapter: Soil Erosion at a Glance. In: V. Hrissanthou & K. Kaffas (Eds.), Soil Erosion - Rainfall Erosivity and Risk Assessment (pp.1-10). IntechOpen, DOI.
[23] Al Sayah, M.J., Nedjai, R., Kaffas, K., Abdallah, C. and Khouri, M. (2019). Assessing the impact of man–made ponds on soil erosion and sediment transport in limnological basins. Water, 11 (12), pp.2526, DOI.
[22] Stefanidis, K., Papaioannou, G., Markogianni, V. and Dimitriou, E. (2019). Water Quality and Hydromorphological Variability in Greek Rivers: A Nationwide Assessment with Implications for Management. Water, 11 (8), 1680, DOI.
[21] Ahn, J., Lee, J.M., Kim, Y.D. and Kang, B. (2019). Effect of Climate Change on Long-term Riverbed Change using GSTARS Model in Nakdong River, Korea. KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, 23 (4), pp.1849-1859, DOI.
[20] Duc, D.M., Tung, T.T., McLaren, P., Anh, T.N. and Thi Quynh, D. (2019). Sediment transport trends and cross-sectional stability of a lagoonal tidal inlet on the Central coast of Vietnam. International Journal of Sediment Research, DOI.
[19] Kaffas, K. and Hrissanthou, V. (2019). Computation of hourly sediment discharges and annual sediment yields by means of two soil erosion models in a mountainous basin. International Journal of River Basin Management, 17 (1), pp.63-77, DOI.
[18] Ezz-Aldeen, M., Rebwar, H., Ali, A. Al-Ansari, N. and Knutsson, S. (2018). Watershed sediment and its effect on storage capacity: case study of Dokan Dam reservoir. Water, 10 (7), 858, DOI.
[17] Pérez-Maqueo, O., Martínez, M., Sánchez-Barradas, F. and Kolb, M. (2018). Assessing Nature-Based Coastal Protection against Disasters Derived from Extreme Hydrometeorological Events in Mexico. Sustainability, 10 (5), 1317, DOI.
[16] Pesce, M., Critto, A., Torresan, S., Giubilato, E., Santini, M., Zirino, A., Ouyang, W. and Marcomini, A. (2018). Modelling climate change impacts on nutrients and primary production in coastal waters. Science of The Total Environment, 628-629, pp.919-937, DOI.
[15] Li, C., Ma, M., Lv, C., Zhang, G., Chen, G., Yan, Y. and Bi, G. (2017). Sedimentary differences between different segments of the continental slope-parallel Central Canyon in the Qiongdongnan Basin on the northern margin of the South China Sea. Marine and Petroleum Geology, 88, pp.127-140, DOI.
[14] Kim, J., Choi, J., Choi, C. and Hwang, C. (2017). Forecasting the Potential Effects of Climatic and Land-Use Changes on Shoreline Variation in Relation to Watershed Sediment Supply and Transport. Journal of Coastal Research, 33 (4), pp.874-888, DOI.
[13] Jiang, Y., Wang, L., Wei, X. and Ding, X. (2017). Impacts of Climate Change on Runoff of Jinghe River Based on SWAT Model. Nongye Jixie Xuebao/Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery, 48 (2), pp.262-270, DOI.
[12] Pesce, M. (2017). Modelling of climate change effects on nutrients. PhD Thesis, Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice, Italy, p.218. (Link)
[11] Yu, J.J., Kim, J.-s. and Jang, D.-H. (2016). A Time-Series Analysis of the Erosion and Deposition around Halmi-island, Baramarae. Journal of The Korean Geomorphological Association, 23 (1), pp.47-60, DOI.
[10] Oyedotun, T.D.T. (2016). Understanding Ebb Channel Dynamics through Locational Probability Analysis of Historical Maps: A Comparable Study. Environmental Processes, 3 (4), pp.961-980, DOI.
[09] André, C., Boulet, D., Rey-Valette, H. and Rulleau, B. (2016). Protection by hard defence structures or relocation of assets exposed to coastal risks: Contributions and drawbacks of cost-benefit analysis for long-term adaptation choices to climate change. Ocean & Coastal Management, 134, pp.173-182, DOI.
[08] Li, Z. and Fang, H. (2016). Impacts of climate change on water erosion: A review. Earth-Science Reviews, 163, pp.94-117, DOI.
[07] Lou, S., Huang, W., Liu, S., Zhong, G. and Johnson, E. (2016). Hurricane impacts on turbidity and sediment in the Rookery Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve, Florida, USA. International Journal of Sediment Research, 31 (4), pp.330-340, DOI.
[06] Ahn, J., Lee, J.M., Kim, Y.D. and Kang, B. (2016). Sensitive analysis of river geometry under various flow conditions in South Han River using GSTARS model. Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, 49 (4), pp.347-359, DOI.
[05] Liu, Y. (2016). Provenance tracking of macroelements in surface sediments from the Yalu River estuary, China. Toxicological & Environmental Chemistry, 98 (3-4), pp.313-326, DOI.
[04] Fang, H., Lai, R., Lin, B., Xu, X., Zhang, F. and Zhang, Y. (2016). Variational-Based Data Assimilation to Simulate Sediment Concentration in the Lower Yellow River, China. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 21 (5), pp.04016010, DOI.
[03] Zhang, W., Xu, Y., Hoitink, A.J.F., Sassi, M.G., Zheng, J., Chen, X. and Zhang, C. (2015). Morphological change in the Pearl River Delta, China. Marine Geology, 363, pp.202-219, DOI.
[02] Koutalakis, P., Zaimes, G.N., Iakovoglou, V. and Ioannou, K. (2015). Reviewing soil erosion in Greece. International Journal of Environmental, Chemical, Ecological, Geological and Geophysical Engineering, 9 (8), pp.898-903. (Link)
[01] Fang, H., Fazeli, M., Cheng, W., Huang, L. and Hu, H. (2015). Biostabilization and Transport of Cohesive Sediment Deposits in the Three Gorges Reservoir. PLoS ONE, 10 (11), e0142673, DOI.
Author's works that reference this work
[J.22] Samaras, A.G. (2023). Towards integrated modelling of Watershed-Coast System morphodynamics in a changing climate: A critical review and the path forward. Science of the Total Environment, 882, 163625, DOI.
[J.17] Gaeta, M.G., Bonaldo, D., Samaras, A.G., Carniel, S. and Archetti, R. (2018). Coupled wave - 2D hydrodynamics modeling at the Reno river mouth (Italy) under climate change scenarios. Water, 10 (10), 1380, DOI.
[J.16] Bonaldo, D., Antonioli, F, Archetti, R., ... ..., Samaras, A.G., Scicchitano, G. and Carniel, S. (2019). Integrating multidisciplinary instruments for assessing coastal vulnerability to erosion and sea level rise: lessons and challenges from the Adriatic Sea, Italy. Journal of Coastal Conservation, 23 (1), pp.19-37, DOI.
[J.22] Samaras, A.G. (2023). Towards integrated modelling of Watershed-Coast System morphodynamics in a changing climate: A critical review and the path forward. Science of the Total Environment, 882, 163625, DOI.
[J.17] Gaeta, M.G., Bonaldo, D., Samaras, A.G., Carniel, S. and Archetti, R. (2018). Coupled wave - 2D hydrodynamics modeling at the Reno river mouth (Italy) under climate change scenarios. Water, 10 (10), 1380, DOI.
[J.16] Bonaldo, D., Antonioli, F, Archetti, R., ... ..., Samaras, A.G., Scicchitano, G. and Carniel, S. (2019). Integrating multidisciplinary instruments for assessing coastal vulnerability to erosion and sea level rise: lessons and challenges from the Adriatic Sea, Italy. Journal of Coastal Conservation, 23 (1), pp.19-37, DOI.
